According to a new poll released Tuesday by Noble Predictive Insights, former President and 2024 GOP frontrunner Donald Trump remains far ahead of the competition in the battleground state of Arizona.
From Newsmax:
Trump leads DeSantis for the GOP nomination in the key battleground state 53% to 16%, followed by businessman Vivek Ramaswamy with 9%, former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley with 8%, and four other candidates all polling below 4%.
Former Vice President Mike Pence and South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott both dropped out of the race after the poll closed.
The survey was conducted Oct. 25-31 with 348 Arizonians and has a margin of error of +/- 5.25 percentage points.
The new poll of the GOP primary mirrors Trump’s 5-point advantage against Biden in the general election, 49% to 44% in the general election, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll Nov. 5.
That lead increases to 46% to 38% in a separate Arizona Public Opinion Pulse online poll also conducted Oct. 25-31 with 1,010 completed surveys, and a 3.1% margin of error.
“An eight-point lead for Trump is striking, but not surprising. Poll averages have Trump ahead of Biden by about a point nationally — that’s a five-point swing from the 2020 results,” David Byler, NPI Chief of Research said in a press release announcing the polling. “If Arizona — one of the most closely contested states of 2020 — also swung that much, we’d expect individual polls to give Trump a mid-to-high single-digit lead. That’s exactly what our poll — and other recent surveys – have shown.”
Arizona Poll: Trump Crushing GOP Field, Beating Biden https://t.co/TAilYHoQjY
— BOB (@ralpha2017) November 14, 2023
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