According to a recent round of swing state polling from the Trafalgar Group and Insider Advantage, former President Donald Trump may score a decisive victory against Kamala Harris in November.
Trump is up in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, as well as Arizona, Nevada and North Carolina.
From The New York Post:
In the Wolverine State, Trafalgar has the former president scoring a narrow victory, 47% to 46.6%.
Pennsylvania shows a wider Trump lead: 47% to 45%.
While winning by 2% wouldn’t constitute a landslide, it would be a bigger win than Trump’s modest 0.72% victory in the state eight years ago.
Meanwhile, Wisconsin splits the two extremes, with Trump over Harris 47% to 46%. Though that margin seems narrow, Trump won the state by 0.77% in 2016 and lost it by 0.63% in 2020.
…
In Arizona, Trump leads 49% to 48% in the race for 11 electoral votes, a smaller margin than the 0.3% Biden win four years ago, and one that would trigger an automatic recount in the state. Trump leads by more than 12 points with independents.
A 9.5% lead with independents buoys Trump in Nevada to a 48%-47% lead, where six electoral votes are at stake. Trump lost the state in both 2016 and 2020.
Meanwhile, Trump leads Harris 49% to 48% in North Carolina, less than the 1.34% margin of victory he secured in 2020, and despite Harris leading with independents 50% to 46%.
The new polling suggests what many experts are reporting — Kamala Harris didn’t receive a post-DNC bump.
Full story over at The New York Post:
Latest swing state polls suggest Trump could score decisive victory against Kamala Harris https://t.co/qqIEfYTDHP pic.twitter.com/7DsRCRrrDz
— New York Post (@nypost) September 2, 2024
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